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Saturday, September 29, 2007


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN every Saturday

Ascot, Saturday, September 29, 2007

5.30pm £16,000 CAPLAN GORDON CARTER HANDICAP 2m

GOING: GOOD TO SOFT (Straight course) SOFT (round course)



for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


1)(8) 060622 KASTHARI James Bethell 8-10-00 Ted Durcan
Winner of the Group Three Doncaster Cup in his prime but lost his way afterwards. Showed himself capable of a return to winning ways when runner-up in handicaps at Newcastle and Doncaster on his last two starts. Up 2lb for his latest run. Has claims on that form but seems to prefer a sound surface. BP= 12/1

2)(12) -21222 SAMURAI WAY Luca Cumani 5-10-00 Jimmy Fortune
Typically progressive and lightly-raced individual who is stepping up to two miles for the first time. Has climbed the handicap after finishing runner-up on his last three starts including in the Old Borough Cup at Haydock last time and now 4lb higher. Good chance but he is poor value. BP= 11/8

3)(7) /665-(5) MIDAS WAY Pat Chamings 7-9-10 Jim Crowley
Last win on the Flat came in June 2003 and was out of sorts in the spring including when well beaten over hurdles on his most recent start in April. Hard to fancy. BP= 50/1

4)(6) -21006 CASTLE HOWARD Willie Musson 5-9-09 Richard Hughes
Well held on last three starts on good and good to firm ground but previously landed a mile and a half Windsor handicap on soft ground. Yet to prove he stays two miles but can't be dismissed if the rain persists. BP= 4/1

5)(3) 40-110 FULL HOUSE Paul Webber NON RUNNER

6)(1) 505015 ODIHAM Hughie Morrison 6-9-07v Steve Drowne
Successful over the course and distance on soft ground in the Brown Jack Stakes in July and only 1lb higher in the ratings. Fair fifth on quicker ground back here in the Shergar Cup Stayers in August. One to consider. BP= 7/1

7) (9) 6(2)0263 WHISPERING DEATH William Haggas NON RUNNER

8)(13) 100025 CAPE SECRET Ralph Beckett NON RUNNER

9) (11) (3)-0424 VELVET HEIGHTS John Dunlop 5-9-03 Eddie Ahern
Three of his four wins have come on an all-weather surface but he pushed Nobelix close on his penultimate start over an extended mile and three quarters on good ground at Newmarket in July. Looked ill at ease on soft ground over that course and distance on August 24. BP= 25/1

10)(2) 1300-3 RAJEH John Spearing 4-9-01 Kerrin McEvoy
Landed a 12-furlong maiden at Galway in August, 2006 prior to embarking on a hurdling career for current yard. Won a two-mile maiden hurdle at Market Rasen in May on fast ground and showed promise returned to the Flat at York in August when third to Galactic Star. Interesting contender. BP= 14/1

11)(10) 314051 GEE DEE NEN Mark Tompkins 4-8-13 Jimmy Quinn
In-form at present following a win over the distance on fast ground at Chester last time and enjoys a 12lb turn around at the weights with Full House on Goodwood running in May. Closely weighted with Velvet Heights on previous effort (4lb better off for six lengths). Successful on soft and good to firm. Has claims. BP= 12/1

12)(5) (5)513-3 GABIER Gary Moore 4-8-11 Ryan Moore
Successful on the Flat in the French provinces lat autumn before rattling off a hat-trick over hurdles for new stable this spring. Ran well when returned to the level over 14 furlongs at Sandown in June but holds Velvet Heights on that running and will appreciate this two miles and the ground. Hasn’t run since but trainer is in form and Gabier looks good value. BP= 14/1

13 (4) 024222 PRINCE ZAFONIC Gay Kelleway 4-8-10t Nicol Polli (5)
Consistent sort but still a maiden after 14 starts and is 5lb out of the handicap. Has plenty to do even with his rider’s claim. BP= 33/1

SUMMARY
This an open race and more so because of the change in ground. Gabier is good value each-way for a small stake.


Good Luck


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