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Saturday, September 1, 2007


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

CHESTER, SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 1, 2007

2.50pm £35,000 CALL 08000 568 621 CHESTER HANDICAP (LISTED) 1m 5f 89y

GOING: GOOD TO FIRM



for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing



1) -26250 SOLENT Richard Hannon 5-9-11 Richard Hughes
Has run in some hot handicaps this term, narrowly denied in Duke of Edinburgh Stakes at Royal Ascot in June when making much of the running, but never competitive last time out in Ebor Handicap at York on August 22. Trip and ground no problem and if he gets to the front he could run well. BP= 18/1

2) -60581 DANSILI DANCER Clive Cox 5-9-10 Paul Mulrennan
Bounced back to winning form last time at Haydock in valuable Old Newton Cup, on first try at 12-furlong trip. All wins on good or quicker ground so surface will be perfect and, although not guaranteed to get this longer distance and this track may not suit. BP= 7/1

3) 967624 LUNDY’S LANE Andrew Balding 7-9-05 Francis Norton
Tough sort, running consistently well of late, who had no luck in running latest behind Dansili Dancer in Old Newton Cup. Weighted to reverse form with that rival and although there are doubts about this trip which he has never tried, plus the fact that he has not won since February, 2005, he could be in the shake-up granted a clear passage. BP= 7/1

4) 131-72 BAUER Luca Cumani 4-9-03 Eddie Ahern
Lightly-raced four-year-old who scored on only run at 14 furlongs at York last year on quick ground. No disgrace to go down last time to unexposed three-year-old of Henry Cecil’s, conceding over a stone (also a winner next time), and step back up in trip looks ideal but he looks a staying type and this continual turning track may not be to his liking. Worth opposing. BP= 2/1

5) 356192 JOHN TERRY Amanda Perrett 4-9-03 Darryll Holland
Went down fighting to useful Strategic Mount at Ascot latest over a mile and a half and every chance of staying this longer trip. Fast ground in his favour but up against some progressive sorts here and needs to be at the top of his game. However, he is the type that might like this track. BP= 10/1

6) 944140 OGEE Sir Michael Stoute 4-9-03v William Buick
Stable to be feared in handicaps and Ogee came good at Goodwood in July over a mile and six furlongs. Never sighted in Ebor Handicap on latest outing but he could appreciate Chester and is a big price. BP= 11/1

7) 317-20 MIKAO Mark Tompkins 6-9-01 Jimmy Quinn
Promising return this season when second to Sentry Duty at Newmarket in May, however disappointing next time when beating only one home in Duke of Edinburgh Stakes at Royal Ascot. Not been seen since and presumably had problems in the interim, so unlikely to be winning contest as competitive as this after two-month absence. Also may find this course too tight. BP= 20/1

8) 60-505 GAVROCHE Jim Boyle 6-9-00 Nicky Mackay
Decent middle distance handicapper who did not offer much on his first two runs this year, although showed more latest behind Strategic Mount at Ascot last month, keeping on well having been short of room two furlongs from home. Still this looks a big ask and opposed. Was sixth last year. BP= 20/1

9) 0-3004 GALIENT Michael Jarvis 4-8-13 Michael Hills
Queen’s Vase second in 2006 marked him out as one to follow in staying races, however he has never really gone on from that effort. Four outings this season have offered limited promise, and despite being a course winner, a return to winning ways here look unlikely. BP= 16/1

10) 2-6311 SAGREDO Sir Mark Prescott 3-8-12 Seb Sanders
Shrewd stable knows how to win races with unexposed three-year-olds and it looks significant that he is being tried at Listed level against his elders. Scored very easily on last two starts over 10 furlongs and certainly progressive, but big rise in trip (although bred to stay) and step up in class mean he is probably worth taking on. He was also beaten here when trying to come from behind which is always difficult. BP= 6/1


SUMMARY

This is an open race and the front two in the betting, Bauer and Sagredo, are worth opposing. I am going with OGEE each-way who is a big price.


GOOD LUCK


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