Saturday, September 6, 2003
THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY
LEOPARDSTOWN, SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 6, 2003
Going - Good to firm
BP= best odds offered by Coral Eurobet, Blue Square, Ladbrokes, Tote, Stanley, Bet 365 and William Hill
4pm 1,000,000 euros Ireland The Food Island Champion Stakes (Group 1) , (3yo+), 1m 2f
1) (5) 5151 Falbrav Luca Cumani GB 5-9-04 Darryll Holland
Has developed into a high-class 10-furlong performer this season, winning the Coral Eclipse and Juddmonte International. However, he is at his best on truly fast ground and this watered surface may not prove ideal.
BP = 9/4 generally
2) (6) 31-1 High Chaparral Aidan O’Brien IRE 4-9-04 Michael Kinane
Last year’s Derby, Irish Derby and Breeders’ Cup Turf winner. Made a late start this yearand looked in need of the race on his seasonal reappearance. Step back in trip not sure to suit but will like the ground and France will ensure there is a good pace.
BP = 7/2 Coral Eurobet, Blue Square, Tote and Stanley
3) (4) 1195 Moon Ballad Saeed bin Suroor GB 4-9-04tb1 Frankie Dettori
Progressive last season and impressive winner of the Dubai World Cup earlier this year. Very disappointing at Royal Ascot but ran better than finishing position suggest over an inadequate mile last time out in the Sussex Stakes. Godolphin has a great record in the race - winning it five times already - and he looks the value, especially with blinkers applied.
BP = 18/1 Ladbrokes
4) (2)-361 Islington Sir Michael Stoute GB 4-9-01 Kieren Fallon
Top-class filly last season. Took time to come to herself this season and not overly impressive in the Yorkshire Oaks last time out. Trainer respected, but she looks to have it all to do.
BP = 12/1 Tote & Bet365
5) (1) 1311 Alamshar John Oxx IRE 3-8-11 Johnny Murtagh
The leading three-year-old colt this season with victories in the Irish Derby and the King George at Ascot. Shouldn’t bee too inconvenienced by this step back in trip as there is likely to be a strong pace and looks sure to play a major role. No value though.
BP = 6/4 Bet365 & William Hill
6) (7) 2934 France Aidan O’Brien IRE 3-8-11 Seamus Heffernan
Fair horse in his own right but hasn’t really looked out of the top draw. Presumably here to ensure a good pace for Alamshar.
BP = 80/1 Coral Eurobet, Ladbrokes & William Hill
7) (3) 1-21 Vintage Tipple Paddy Mullins IRE 3-8-08 Pat Smullen
Winner of three of her four starts and impressive in taking the Irish Oaks last time out. This however is by far her toughest challenge yet and she will need to be an exceptional three-year-old filly to win this.
BP = 14/1 Coral Eurobet & William Hill
SUMMARY
A high-class renewal of this contest. The value lies with MOON BALLAD, who is good value to build on Godolphin’s formidable record in this race.
GOOD LUCK
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