Saturday, July 8, 2000
THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY
SANDOWN PARK, SATURDAY, JULY 8, 2000
BP=best price of Coral (C), William Hill (H), Ladbrokes (L) and the Tote (T)
Going-Good, good to firm in places
4.05pm CORAL-ECLIPSE STAKES (CLASS A) (GROUP ONE) 1M 2F
1) 3-623 BORDER ARROW Ian Balding 5-9-07 Seb Sanders 8 BP= 25-1 T, H
Border Arrow has been plagued with leg problems over the last two seasons, since he finished third to High-Rise in the 1998 Vodafone Derby. On his last two runs the Selkirk colt has been beaten by two rivals which he will meet today- Fantastic Light at Epsom last month and Shiva at Sandown in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes. There seems little reason why Border Arrow should be able to reverse the form with both these horses.
2) 10-12 FANTASTIC LIGHT Saeed bin Suroor 4-9-07 John Reid 2 BP= 11-2 T, H
This son of Rahy was probably a bit unlucky when defeated by Daliapour in the Vodafone Coronation Cup over a mile and a half at Epsom last time. Before that he ran on well to break the track record when winning at Nad al Sheba in the Dubai Sheema Classic on March 25. His greatest victory to date was in the Great Voltigeur Stakes at York in August 1999, and he has every chance of securing his first Group One victory today. He was a close third in this race last year. With a pacemaker and a good pace he should be able to have a strong hand in the finish. He is good value.
3) 34-66 GOLD ACADEMY Richard Hannon 4-9-07 Dane O'Neill 7 BP= 40-1 C, L, H
Won two races in 1999, including the Listed Strensall Stakes at York. However he ran in a lot of the best races picking up a lot of prize money for placings along the way. This season he has proved a little frustrating finding the ground too testing on his reappearance at Sandown in April, before never really getting into the action in the Group Two Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot last time. Best left alone today.
4) 11-21 KALANISI Sir Michael Stoute 4-9-07 Pat Eddery 2 BP= 4-1 T
When Kalanisi won the Queen Anne Stakes over a mile at Royal Ascot, he looked the sort of horse who would be even better suited by 10 furlongs. A winner of four of his five racecourse appearances, this son of Doyoun looks set to make an impact at the highest level and the very fact that Sir Michael Stoute supplemented him for this event would appear to be something of a marker in itself. However he has more to prove than most of these and is not such good value.
5) 72-71 SHIVA Henry Cecil 5-9-04 Richard Quinn 3 BP= 5/2 C
Despite the fact that only one filly, Kooyonga in 1992, has taken the Coral-Eclipse in the last decade, the way in which Shiva demolished a top-class field over course and distance on her last outing was impressive. However, she really needs soft ground to be seen at her peak, and the ground looks as if it is going to be no worse than good today.
6) -1221 GIANT'S CAUSEWAY Aidan O'Brien IRE 3-8-10 George Duffield 4 BP= 8-1 L
The Aidan O' Brien-trained Irish challenger in the field really deserved his victory in the St James's Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot on June 20, having finished runner-up in both the English and Irish 2,000 Guineas. One of only two horses along with Shiva to have already scored in a Group One contest, he thoroughly deserves to take his place, and this is the time of year when three-year-olds begin to be able to match their older rivals. First time against older horses and first time beyond a mile. Best form when having things his own way up in front.
7) 1-112 SAKHEE 3-8-10 John Dunlop 3-8-10 Richard Hills 5 BP= 9/4 C
Sakhee's only reversal of the season came in the Vodafone Derby when beaten by Sinndar, who has franked the form since, slamming the field in the Irish Derby. Sakhee has proved himself to be a very gutsy performer this term, winning the Thresher Classic trial over course and distance on soft ground and the JWE Telecom Dante Stakes on fast ground at York win at York in May. However, he faces older horses for the first time, has had three hard races and whether he has the speed back over a mile and quarter on relatively fast ground are all question marks. With that in mind his odds look plenty short enough
8) 15-3 SUN CHARM Saeed bin Suroor 3-8-10v1 Daragh O'Donohoe 6 BP= 200-1 L
This horse has contested Group Three and Listed events in his three outings to date, but he is purely a pacemaker for Fantastic Light here, and should be discounted from all calculations.
Fantastic Light is the clear value in today's Coral-Eclipse - back him each-way.
For old articles (from 1st March 2000) go to the Newslink