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Saturday, July 22, 2000




TODAY'S GOING




MARKET RASEN - Good to firm.

NEWBURY - Good to firm.

NEWMARKET - Good to firm.

RIPON - Good to firm.

WARWICK - Good to firm.




THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

NEWMARKET, SATURDAY, JULY 22, 2000




BP=best price of Coral (C), William Hill (H), Ladbrokes (L) and the Tote (T)
Going-Good to Firm

4.15pm FOODBROKERS ANIMAL HEALTH TRUST TROPHY RATED STAKES (CLASS B) (HANDICAP) 1M

1) 1-3150 FERZAO Amanda Perrett 3-9-07 Richard Quinn 8
Ferzao was at one time considered good enough to warrant a Derby entry, but today's topweight has not met those lofty expectations. Last time at Sandown on his handicap debut he was beaten nearly 20 lengths after pulling hard over a longer ten-furlong trip. Drops 2lb here but there are still a lot of questions to answer, not the least about his best trip. Not out of it. BP=9/1 C

2) 31063 TUMBLEWEED TOR Brian Meehan 3-9-06 David McCabe 10
Dropped back in trip by two furlongs, this Rudimentary colt ran well on his last outing when finishing third behind Chapel Royale over course and distance. He was badly drawn on that occasion. He had previously finished mid-division but not beaten far in the Britannia Handicap at Royal Ascot, a fraction behind Argentan and is 2lb better off. BP=11/1 C

3) 0-10 JATHAABEH Michael Jarvis 3-9-03 Philip Robinson 5
Michael Jarvis's lightly-raced charge is something of an unknown quantity, winning his maiden on Newmarket's Rowley Mile course over in June, before finishing behind in the Group Three Jersey Stakes over seven furlongs at Royal Ascot last time. Difficult to tell if he is well-handicapped, but obviously highly-regarded by Newmarket's longest-standing trainer. BP=9/1 C, T, H

4) 1-4700 SO PRECIOUS Nick Littmoden 3-9-03 Jason Weaver 9
So Precious was considered good enough to take her chance in the Vodafone Oaks at Epsom Downs, but she was beaten nearly 30 lengths by Love Divine. Well-beaten again in the Group Three Lancashire Oaks over a mile and a half last time, she is another who makes her debut in handicap company. Drops back four furlongs to a mile but it is difficult to know whether this will do the trick. BP=25/1 C, H

5) 530071 CAIR PARAVEL Richard Hannon 3-9-02 Dane O'Neill 13
Made all to win a 0-85 handicap on his last outing at Salisbury, getting the trip well on only the second occasion that he has attempted a mile. Raised 6lb for that victory, Cair Paravel may struggle in this better event and he is best watched today. BP=12/1 C, L

6) -21071 SIR FERBET Barry Hills 3-9-01 Michael Hills 4
Not one of Barry Hills's stable stars, winning his maiden on the all-weather, nevertheless he has to be respected today. Last time he won a mile handicap on Newmarket's here, and a 4lb rise in the ratings may not be enough to stop him going close again. Fair each-way chance. BP=7/1 L

7) -30006 DESERT FURY Ben Hanbury 3-9-01 Willie Ryan 2
Desert Fury has dropped nearly a stone in the ratings since he made his handicap debut in May. Although his last run did give the impression that he may win a race if the handicapper weakens his grip further, he cannot be backed with any confidence today even though he is on a 3lb lower mark. BP=25/1 C, H

8) 3-2201 ARGENTAN John Gosden 3-9-00 bl 1st time Jimmy Fortune 6
John Gosden's runner has had one outing in handicap company, somewhat thrown in at the deep end in the Britannia Handicap at Royal Ascot, finishing 13th, though not beaten far, behind stablemate El Gran Papa. Since that run Argentan has won his maiden at Doncaster on July 13, and it is possible that the son of Gulch is on a good mark today. Blinkered for the first time after being visored in the Britannia. Trainer in form. BP=10/1 T

9) 31-418 ATAVUS George Margarson 3-8-13 Jamie Mackay (5) 12
After winning a handicap at Newmarket in May, Atavus could never mount a challenge when raised 6lb for that victory on his next outing at Goodwood later in the month. Off the same mark today he does not really look like a viable betting proposition, although one of the apprentice finds of the season, Jamie Mackay, taking 5lb off his back could make him more competitive. Was 7/1 early on but after Pricewise went for him is now around 4/1 - poor value. BP=7/1 T

10) 1-42 BLUE SUGAR James Fanshawe 3-8-13 Ray Cochrane 3
Tremendous to see Ray Cochrane back in the saddle after his horrific plane crash and he had a winner last night. Blue Sugar joins the ranks of those horses who have never competed in handicap company. A winner of his only race as a juvenile at Lingfield, it is difficult to weigh up his chances - again something of an unknown quantity. BP=6/1 L, T

11) 772031 CHAPEL ROYALE Kamil Mahdi 3-8-11 Jason Tate 11
Chapel Royale was a course and distance winner nine days ago, with Tumbleweed Tor back in third beaten 1.5 lengths, giving the victor 13lb. Chapel Royale may struggle to confirm that form today on 4lb worse terms, but he does seem in fine form and is in with a squeak. BP=9/1 C, L, H

12) 14-052 KIND REGARDS Mark Johnston 3-8-10 Richard Hills 1
Kind Regards was beaten eight lengths by Tumbleweed Tor at Nottingham in May in a non-handicap. On that occasion she was receiving 3lb from the victor, and today's receipt of 10lb makes things more interesting between these two rivals. Second on her last run at Epsom, Kind Regards could be one for the shortlist. BP=10/1 L

13) 325052 BOLD EWAR Clive Brittain 3-8-07bl Basil Marcus 7
Clive Brittain has had an excellent season, but Bold Ewar is 4lb out of the handicap. However the Persian Bold colt (2nd) beat Chapel Royale (3rd) when they met at Beverley earlier this month, and theoretically should do so again today, receiving the same amount of weight from that rival as at the Yorkshire venue. Seven-times Hong Kong champion jockey Basil Marcus in the saddle is a great help. Tries to make all. BP=20/1 C

Summary
There should be a good pace in this mile race which looks fairly open. Atavus is worth opposing. Trainer John Gosden is in fine form and his ARGENTAN looks excellent each-way value at 10/1.


GOOD LUCK


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