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Saturday, July 15, 2000



EMINENCE GRISE WINS TODAY FOR THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN - SEE THE ADVICE THIS MORNING BELOW






THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

YORK, SATURDAY, JULY 15, 2000




BP=best price of Coral (C), William Hill (H), Ladbrokes (L) and the Tote (T)
Going-Good

3.35pm FOSTER'S SILVER CUP RATED STAKES (CLASS A) (LISTED HANDICAP) 1M 6F

1) 01-65 SINON Mark Johnston 5-9-07 Joe Fanning 7
Mark Johnston's charge has been highly tried this season in the Group Two Yorkshire Cup, and the Group Three Curragh Cup. Not really disgraced on either occasion, having won a Listed race in France on his last start last year, this represents a drop in class for Sinon. Must have a fair chance despite top weight, and at five he is very lightly raced, having seen a racecourse on only nine occasions. BP=16/1 C

2) 5-569 MOWBRAY Paul Cole 5-9-02 Lee Newman 4
Mowbray would appear to be a high-summer horse, who really seems to find his form in July and August. This son of Opening Verse put up a fine performance in last year's Tote Ebor Handicap, coming from around the outside to be beaten just over two lengths when carrying a 6lb penalty. He did not show much last time in the Duke of Edinburgh Handicap over a mile and a half at Royal Ascot, but a good run today would not be that much of a surprise. He is gradually coming down the handicap but the question is whether he has dropped enough. BP=11/1 C

3) -0831 BAY OF ISLANDS Dave Morris 8-9-02v Kevin Darley 6
Dave Morris was given the biggest success of his training career by Bay Of Islands when the eight-year-old won the Northumberland Plate at Newcastle on July 1. That race was over two miles, but the Jupiter Island gelding obviously has lots of natural speed and should not be too inconvenienced by a drop in trip here. Obvious chances even with a 7lb higher rating. BP=6/1 L

4) 2-534 FANTASY HILL John Dunlop 4-9-01 Pat Eddery 5
Fourth to Bay Of Islands in the Northumberland Plate, Fantasy Hill meets that rival on 4lb better terms today for just over four lengths. Furthermore John Dunlop's four-year-old was knocked back in running at Newcastle. Third in the Chester Cup before that, beaten less than two lengths. Pat Eddery is back on board today, and he really does look the one to beat. BP=3/1 T

5) 64-82 EMINENCE GRISE Henry Cecil 5-9-00 Richard Quinn 2
Despite not being one of Henry Cecil's stars, any representative from his powerful Newmarket stable has to be respected. Last time at York in June, Eminence Grise only found Inch Perfect too good, and he had Bay Of Islands, who was in receipt of 2lb, a further three lengths back in third. 4lb better off with that rival today, this impeccably-bred son of Sadler's Wells may confirm that form but is racing off a 3lb higher mark. Won't be far away as he has run his best races at York and may seize the initiative. Trainer in form. BP=4/1 H, C

6) 115-0 MUSICIAN James Fanshawe 4-8-13 Richard Hughes 8
Musician was a revelation for James Fanshawe last season, winning four handicaps on the bounce. As a result of these victories, Musician made her seasonal debut off a mark more than a stone higher than when she began that winning sequence. She was not disgraced on that occasion at Newmarket in May, and the stable is in form. Trying this longer trip for the first time. BP=8/1 L

7) -5660 RAISE A PRINCE Sean Woods 7-8-11t George Duffield 3
Sean Woods' charge has had four outings this season, and is looking a difficult horse to place as he has been beaten over 10 lengths on every appearance. To be fair, these races included two Group Three events, a Listed race, and a 0-105 handicap, but this contest is no easier. He has dropped 4lb in the ratings to his lowest mark for some time but it may not be enough. BP=25/1 L, T

8) 21-2 SEEK Luca Cumani 4-8-05 Jamie Spencer 9
After easily winning his mile and a half maiden at Pontefract last year, Seek suffered a setback and did not run again during that campaign. Luca Cumani commented that he was looking forward to the Rainbow Quest colt's four-year-old career, but he was beaten on his re-appearance at the same track in April over ten furlongs. Making his handicap debut today, Seek was considered good enough at one time to warrant a Derby entry, and the fact that he hails from a stable well-known for its handicap placing makes him a big danger. While the others are exposed sorts, he is very unexposed. The question is whether he is good enough and fit enough. Trainer in good form. BP=9/2 T

9) 694F9 PRAIRIE FALCON Barry Hills 6-8-04 John Reid 1
Prairie Falcon ran well when finishing fourth in the Chester Cup in May, filling the same spot that he finished in the same contest a year earlier. Unfortunately he slipped and fell on his next outing at Ascot, and was then beaten nearly 10 lengths at Sandown earlier this month. Barry Hills' stable has been under a bit of a cloud, but this six-year-old hasn't won for nearly two years and like a lot of these has questions to answer. BP=14/1 T

Summary
A trappy race. Most of these have struggled to win or maybe need longer trips. Most need holding up, with Sinon and Eminence Grise the only ones who strike for home early. Seek is lightly raced and undoubtedly has potential but should he be preferred over the other two? The bookmakers are not being that generous. The best solution is to back EMINENCE GRISE each-way.


Good luck



YORK REPORT



Jockey John Reid and trainer Fulke Johnson Houghton joined up again with Sobriety who was the 20-1 winner of the £135,000 John Smith's Cup at York.

The pair teamed up to win the 1978 King George VI And the Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes at Ascot with Ile de Bourbon.

Reid said: "I was with Fulke when he was at the top and I'm chuffed to bits to have ridden another big-race winner for him.

Johnson Houghton said: "John and I had some great days together - it's great to do it again."

Sobriety caught Man O'Mystery close home, with Nooshman third and Triple Dash fourth.Medicean, the 5-2 favourite, was 14th.

Eminence Grise gained the verdict in a multiple photo finish to the £30,000-added Foster's Silver Cup, after being given a tremendous ride by Richard Quinn

Henry Cecil's only runner of the day won a short-head and the same from Bay of Islands and Musician.


3.35pm
1. EMINENCE GRISE (IRE) 5-9-00 Richard Quinn 100/30 Fav
2. Musician 4-8-13 Richard Hughes 10/1
3. Bay of Islands (V) 8-9-02 Kevin Darley 13/2

4.10pm
1. SOBRIETY (IRE) 3-8-08 John Reid 20/1
2. Man O'Mystery (USA) 3-8-02 John Egan 11/2
3. Nooshman (USA) 3-7-12 Lee Newman 9/1
4. Triple Dash 4-8-03 George Duffield 8/1




TOTE SCOOP6 INFORMATION





SATURDAY JULY 15 2000


MAIN POOL SATURDAY TURNOVER £269,982


WIN FUND DIVIDEND NOT WON
POOL £219,394.49 (After Deductions)
ROLLOVER £219,394.49 TO 22ND JULY 2000


PLACE FUND DIVIDEND £576.80
WINNING UNITS 117 POOL £67,495.50 (After Deductions)


BONUS FUND DIVIDEND NOT WON ROLLOVER £399,607.20 TO 22ND JULY 2000 ( After Deductions)



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