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Saturday, May 12, 2007


VALUE BETTING COLUMN every Saturday

Haydock Park, Saturday, May 12, 2007

3.05pm£35,000 Betfredpoker Spring Trophy Stakes (Listed) 7f 30y

GOING: GOOD,GOOD TO FIRM IN PLACES



for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


1)(8) 0-4154 APPALACHIAN TRAIL Ian Semple 6-9-11b Tom Eaves
Consistent performer who gained a deserved Listed success over six furlongs at Newmarket last term. In good heart in Dubai early in the year when winning a seven-furlong handicap and has fair claims. His one British race this year was over an inadequate six furlongs. BP= 16/1

2)(5) 0006-0 QUITO David Chapman 10-9-11b Paul Hanagan
Admirable old campaigner who enjoyed his best season last year when winning over the course and distance five days after finishing a narrow second in the Group One Betfred Sprint Cup over six furlongs here in September. Failed to fire in six subsequent outings and could be vulnerable to progressive rivals. BP= 8/1

3)(2) 2400-4 BALTHAZAAR'S GIFT Luca Cumani 4-9-07 George Baker
Group Two-winning juvenile who failed by only a neck to overhaul Les Arcs in the Group One Golden Jubilee over six furlongs at Royal Ascot last season. Couldn't repeat that form when switched to Tom George for his next three starts but ran with more promise than the bare result suggests when fourth on debut for current yard over seven furlongs at Leicester last time but is still unproven over the distance. BP= 12/1

4)(3) -0(0)(0)02 EXCUSEZ MOI Clive Brittain 5-9-07 Seb Sanders
Smart handicapper on his day who was outclassed in the Group One Prix de l'Abbaye on his final start of 2006. Out of form earlier this year but ran his best race for some time when second to New Seeker over this trip at Leicester on April 28 but probably better at six furlongs. BP=12/1

5)(7) 1110-(1) LEVERA Alan King 4-9-07 Micky Fenton
Progressed at a rate of knots last spring, winning a seven-furlong Listed contest at York before going off favourite for the Group Three Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot in which he pulled-up lame. Scored decisively on his return over the trip at Lingfield and this front-runner has an excellent chance but is no value. BP=13/8

6)(9) 50-254 MAC LOVE Jeremy Noseda 6-9-07 Steve Drowne
Solid yardstick and Group Three winner at his best who ran with credit in three Dubai handicaps this winter without winning. Weighted to reverse form with Munaddam on the first of those efforts and is capable of winning a race of this nature but does not get his head in front that often. BP= 14/1

7)(6) 01-112 MUNADDAM Ed Dunlop 5-9-07 Royston Ffrench
Showed little in handicaps last season before winning a six-furlong contest at Folkestone on his final start of the campaign. Improved markedly to win a pair of seven-furlong heats in Dubai before running second in the Listed Al Quoz Sprint over six furlongs there on his latest start. This looks a stiffer task but no reason to think there isn't more still to come but worth opposing at this price. BP=3/1

8)(1) (1)5200- VANDERLIN Andrew Balding 8-9-07 Francis Norton
Tough globe-trotter who boasts a Canadian Grade Two victory. Has not run since posting a below-par effort in a Grade One at Woodbine in September but always runs well fresh and has won first time up for the past two seasons. Each-way possibilities but he is not getting any younger. BP=8/1

9)(4) 11220- INVINCIBLE FORCE Paul Green 3-8-9 Dean McKeown
Useful sprint juvenile last season who progressed to take runner-up spot in a six-furlong Group Three at Chantilly in September. Below-par when last of 10 on final start in Cornwallis Stakes at Ascot. Big ask on seasonal debut against older rivals and unbtested over seven furlongs. BP= 50/1

SUMMARY

An interesting race which is more open that the betting suggests. It is worth taking a chance each-way with MAC LOVE who will be suited by the likely fast pace and comes from a trainer in form.


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