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Sunday, May 30, 2004


YESTERDAY’S VALUE BETTING COLUMN GAVE THE 12/1 WINNER POLAR JEM (recommended at 8/1)OF THE 1.35PM AT KEMPTON and also favourably mentioned the third Todlea

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THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

1.35pm KEMPTON, SATURDAY, MAY 29, 2004



totesport Handicap (Class C) (3yo+,0-90) 1m2f

GOING: GOOD TO FIRM

1) (5) 131- Windy Britain Luca Cumani 5-9-12 Darryll Holland
Stable in good form and would have a chance if she is fit enough as looked very much on the upgrade at the end of last year. Very consistent but no value.

BP = 9/2

2) (3) 4920 Arry Dash Mick Channon 4-9-10 Ted Durcan
Has been running fairly well of late but looks in the grip of the handicapper and made no impression at Epsom last time out.

BP = 14/1

3) (1) -341 Polar Jem (ex6) George Margarson 4-9-03 Adrian McCarthy
Impressive winner at Ripon earlier this week when getting the faster ground she needed and looks open to further improvement. Must have a good chance. and is excellent value.

BP = 8/1

4) (13) -009 Prairie Wolf Michael Bell 8-9-02 Ian Mongan
Goes well at Goodwood but has not done enough lately to give him any chance here.

BP = 25/1

5) (2) 3003 Northside Lodge Peter Harris 6-9-01 Martin Dwyer
Showed signs of a return to form when at Leicester last time but the question is whether the form amounts to much.

BP = 8/1

6) (11) -011 Summer Bounty Frank Jordan 8-9-00 Robert Miles(3)
Won latest two starts but has gone up 8lb since the last success and has more to do here but cannot be dismissed..

BP = 16/1

7) (12) 9199 Caroubier John Gallagher 4-9-00 Jimmy Quinn
Won well at Windsor two starts ago over a mile and ran better than finishing position would suggest at Goodwood last time. Has some chance but others appeal more.

BP = 20/1

8) (15) 2310 Rasid Chris Dwyer 6-8-13 Steve Drowne
In good form at a lower class earlier in this season but struggled in this grade at Newmarket last time and likely to do so again.

BP = 33/1

9) (9) 6225 Tony Tie Jimmy Goldie 8-8-13 John Egan
Good performer over the years but always vulnerable to more progressive sorts in this kind of contests and could do with the handicapper dropping him a few pounds.

BP = 20/1

10) (10) -044 Desert Island Disc John Bridger 7-8-13 Frankie McDonald(3)
Reasonable level of form but generally suited by longer distances.

BP = 25/1

11) (16) 5233 Street Life Willie Musson 6-8-12 Gary Carter
Third when favourite at Windsor last time and would have some chance off this weight on some of his earlier form - tends to come late.

BP = 14/1

12) (14) 69-7 Freeloader NON RUNNER

13) (8) 4550 Silvaline Tommy Keddy 5-8-12 Paul Doe
Has been beaten quite far on last two starts.

BP = 25/1

14) (7) 0-26 Lilli Marlane Neville Callaghan 4-8-10b1 Frankie Dettori
Clear chance on her recent efforts over a mile at Ascot and Hamilton. Open to further improvement and with the first time blinkers to sharpen her up, is clearly one for the shortlist. No real value though.

BP = 6/1

15) (4) -644 Todlea Jamie Osborne 4-8-10 Johnny Murtagh
Decent level of form and another who has a chance judged on his recent effort at Newbury. Good value.

BP = 14/1

16) (6) 5542 Karaoke Sylvester Kirk 4-8-03 Ryan Moore
Generally consistent form this season and last two efforts have been sound. This is probably a tougher race.

BP = 10/1

SUMMARY
A mixture of old stagers and improving types. The two who are best value in this interesting race are Polar Jem and Todlea. It is difficult to pick between the two but POLAR JEM just gets the nod she proved it last time out. Back each-way even though typically we are down to three places because of a non-runner.




SMARTY JONES 1-3 WITH CORAL TO WIN US TRIPLE CROWN


Coral today issued a full list of betting on Saturday's Belmont Stakes and make Smarty Jones their 1-3 favourite to win the race and become the first horse to complete the US Triple Crown since Affirmed in 1976.


Rock Hard Ten, who finished runner-up to Smarty Jones in The Preakness Stakes, is again the main rival at 5-1 with Eddington and Purge both at 8-1 in what looks likely to be a small field.

Last year's Kentucky Derby winner Funny Cide, who just missed out on Triple Crown glory, takes on top-class filly, Azeri, tomorrow at Belmont Park and the pair are 16-1 and 20-1 with Coral for the Breeders’ Cup Classic ahead of the race.


** Belmont Stakes:
1-3 Smarty Jones, 5-1 Rock Hard Ten, 8-1 Purge, Eddington, 20-1 Birdstone, 25-1 Royal Assault, 33-1 Tap Dancer,

** Breeders’ Cup Classic:
3-1 Smarty Jones, 5-1 Pleasantly Perfect, 8-1 Medaglio D'Oro, 10-1 Candy Ride, 12-1 Dynever, Southern Image, 16-1 Funny Cide, Peace Rules, Tizbud, 20-1 Azeri, Rock Hard Ten,


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