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Saturday, April 21, 2007


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

AYR, SATURDAY, APRIL 21, 2007

2:55pm £70,000 Samsung Electronics Scottish Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) 2m

GOING: GOOD TO FIRM



for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


1) -12232 PENZANCE Alan King 6-11-10 Robert Thornton
Former high-class juvenile hurdler who handed the JCB Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festivalin 2005. Struggled thereafter at hurdling and sent over fences this term, scoring on his chasing debut at Hereford in May but beaten all starts subsequently, albeit behind some very classy performers including Fair Along, Denman and Lennon. Will handle the ground on return to the smaller obstacles but has been off the best part of five months and there to be shot at under top weight. BP= 10/1

2) 13223 OUNINPOHJA Paul Nicholls 6-10-13b Ruby Walsh
Useful on the Flat, placed five times at Listed level, and has quickly made up into a smart hurdler this season. Never out of three first three since facile victory on hurdling debut at Taunton, finishing third in Grade 2 novice event at Aintree last week, having run a blinder the time before when runner-up in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham. Solid chance but his attitude has been called into question a few times. However, the rider is in the form of his life. BP= 9/2

3) -82046 CARACCIOLA Nicky Henderson 10-10-12 Mick Fitzgerald
Admirable campaigner who has produced some top efforts this season, most recently when a close sixth to Pedrobob in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham in March and closely linked formwise with Ouninpohja. Should run his usual game race but holds no secrets from the handicapper and always likely to find one or two too good. BP= 8/1

4) 130803 PREMIER DANE Nicky Richards 5-10-12 Tony Dobbin
High-class novice form in 2006 included splitting Detroit City and Afsoun in Aintree Grade One, but failed to make much of an impact this season until running the race of his life to take third place at 100/1 in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham last time. Claims on that effort but not one to trust implicitly. BP= 9/2

5) 421F13 SHATABDI Nicky Henderson 5-10-08 Andrew Tinkler
Ex-French mare who ran away with a Grade 2 contest at Kempton in February on soft ground, and performed with great credit when a close third on quicker ground at Aintree over two and a half miles nine days ago. Had a hard race that day, however, and though perfectly capable of going very well, others are preferred. BP= 14/1

6) 2445U7 ALERON John Quinn 9-10-07p Dougie Costello (3)
Decent dual-purpose customer who mixes Flat racing with hurdling/chasing. Been set some stiff tasks this term and made positive return on the level when third at Catterick earlier this month, his first start for almost three months. Looks up against it in this class but the trainer’s hurdlers are in excellent form recently and bold showing would not totally surprise. BP= 50/1

7) B5-441 EMMPAT Charlie Swan IRE 9-10-07 David Casey
Talented Irish hurdler who fairly bolted up in ultra-competitive Fairyhouse handicap on April 10 after a 192-day absence, defeating New Field in decisive fashion by three lengths. Has been lightly-raced this term, David Casey retains the ride, trip and ground are perfect and looks primed for a big run but he is no value. BP= 5/2

8) 16121 ALTILHAR Gary Moore 4-10-04b Jamie Moore
Three-time winner on the Flat and has looked even better over obstacles, scoring three times and also beating all bar the supremely tough Gaspara in the Fred Winter Juvenile Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham festival. Comes here in top form and carries a feather weight but only four and it is possible that others will know too much for him at this stage. BP= 6/1

SUMMARY

A fascinating race all round with Ouninpohja great value each-way.


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