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Saturday, April 1, 2006
THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY
LINGFIELD, SATURDAY, APRIL 1, 2006 4.40pm, Play Baccarat At intercasino.co.uk Handicap, 2m for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com BP= the best price at the time of writing GOING: STANDARD 1) (4) 7451 Monte Cristo Lavinia Taylor 8-9-09v Neil Chalmers (3) Better known as a fair handicap chaser/hurdler but has decent all-weather form of late, with three wins since November. Has a chance despite having gone up 3lb. BP= 4/1 2) (2) 4-24 Montosari Philip Mitchell 7-9-03 George Baker Has won over the course and distance. He is 4lb better off with MonteCritso for a near three-length beating last time out when there was not a lot of pace. BP=9/2 3) (8) -192 Taxman Clive Brittain 4-9-00p Ryan Moore Won on seasonal debut over 12 furlongs before down the field over this course and distance behind Monte Cristo next time (endured a very rough passage and was eased when beaten). Showed a return to form again last time over 12 furlongs but is so far unproven over this distance on the all-weather. Worth opposing at this price. BP= 9/4 4) (5) 957- Mac Han Eamon Tyrrell IRE 7-8-11 Michael Hussey Not seen out since pulling up over hurdles in late December and well beaten on only previous try on the all-weather, though that was on the Fibresand at Southwell. Best Flat form at lesser distances. Trained in Ireland. BP= 16/1 5) (1) 5331 Lady Pilot Dr Jeremy Naylor 4-8-11v Adam Kirby (3) Stays very well and won last time at Wolverhampton over 17 furlongs Has a talented claimer aboard and should be thereabouts but srictly on his third behind Monte Cristo here the time before is held by the winner. BP= 6/1 6) (6) 6-02 Jamaar Chris Kellett 4-8-10 Micky Fenton Yet to win in six starts, although almost caused a 50/1 upset last time out, at Wolverhampton a month and a half ago but was probably flattered by that performance as he dictated the pace. Probably needs to improve to figure here. BP= 10/1 7) (3) 98-0 Jubilee Dream Laura Mongan 4-8-9b1 Jean-Piere Guillambert Another maiden, who has mixed hurdling and the all-weather, swith the latter performances being over 10 furlongs. Little to recommend on all known evidence over this trip yet. BP= 20/1 8) (7) 038- Arch Folly Jonny Portman 4-8-04 Paul Hanagan Winless in 10 starts to date but showed a race was clearly within his grasp last season when third in a Goodwood turf handicap at this trip. Main concern is that he has not run since October but trainer is in fair form. BP= 10/1 SUMMARY An interesting little race, with the top three likely to dominate and a wild card in Arch Folly. MONTOSARI is great each-way value and must have a fine chance of winning if there is a bit of pace early on. For old articles (from 1st March 2000) go to the Newslink Archive |
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