Saturday, March 20, 2004
THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY
2:55pm UTTOXETER, SATURDAY, MARCH 20, 2004
£100,000 John Smith's Midlands Grand National Chase (Handicap) 4m 2f
BP = at the time of writing but for the best current odds go to www.BritOdds.com (Click on link above)
GOING: Good to soft, Soft in places
1) P-00 Mini Sensation Jonjo O’Neill 11-11-12 Barry Geraghty
Second in 2002 but pulled up last year, Miini Sensation has had two runs over hurdles this season without showing much over inadequate trips.
BP= 14/1 Blue Square, totesport, Stanleybet and Bet365
2) 3733 Montayral Pat Hughes IRE 7-11-01 Jim Culloty
Stays very well and should be suited by conditions. Must have a chance.
BP= 8/1 Blue Square and Bet365
3) 2-FP Akarus Martin Pipe 9-11-01 Tony McCoy
Close second in this race last year but races off an 8lb higher mark.
BP= 6/1 Coral Eurobet
4) F312 Kings Mistral Patrick Chamings 11-10-13 James Davies (3)
Stays well and likes Sandown. Racing off his highest mark.
BP= 16/1 Ladbrokes and Bet365
5) 7112 Mr Cospector Dai Williams 7-10-9 Mr J Diment (5)
Stays well and should get this trip. Raceover an inadequate distance last time out.
BP= 12/1 Blue Square, Ladbrokes, totesport, Bet365 and William Hill
6) 91P1 Hume Castle Jessica Harrington 8-10-08 R M Power (3)
Unproven at this trip and racing off his highest mark.
BP= 9/2 Stanleybet
7) PP10 Ballybrophy Simon Sherwood 9-10-07 b1 Sam Thomas (3)
Disappointed last time out but fair form at best.
BP= 16/1 totesport and William Hill
8) /P66 Arlas Martin Pipe 9-10-05 Tom Scudamore
Has done best on faster ground.
BP= 50/1 William Hill
9) P4P4 Ebony Light Ginger McCain 8-10-05 Ruby Walsh
Plodder who is coming down the handicap.
BP= 201/ Coral Eurobet
10) U-P0 Sir Frosty John Ryall 11-10-04 Noel Fehily
Fair performer at best but has not shown much recently.
BP= 28/1 William Hill
11) -148 Hersov Nicky Henderson 8-10-04b1 Mick Fitzgerald
Fairly consistent but unproven over this distance.
BP= 8/1 Ladbrokes
12) -U26 Lord Jack Nicky Richards 8-10-04tp Brian Harding
Appears better at lesser trips.
BP= 25/1 Ladbrokes and totesport
13) 05-4 Smarty Mark Pitman 11-10-02v Timmy Murphy
More an Aintree horse these days but he is not badly treated on his best form and has a chance.
BP= 40/1 generally except Stanleybet
14) 4231 Mercato John Best 8-10-02 Mark Bradburne
Improving sort who is however unproven at the distance and on the ground.
BP= 12/1 Coral Eurobet, Blue Square and totesport
15) 4121 Pharaway Citizen Tom George 9-10-00 (9-13) Paul Moloney
He is in good form but this is much togher.
BP= 18/1 Ladbrokes
16) UP34 Granit D’Estruval Ferdy Murphy 10-10-00 (9-12) Richard McGrath
He has run well the last time times and is not out of it.
BP= 14/1 Blue Square, totesport, Stanleybet and William Hill
17) 14BP Luzcadou Ferdy Murphy 11-10-00b (9-12) Mr K J Mercer (7)
Appears better at shorter distances.
BP= 50/1 Blue Square, Ladbrokes, tootresport and William Hill
18) 72-2 Heidi III 10 Liza Williamson 9-10-00p (9-11) P Aspell (3)
Useful sort at best and ran well in a hunter chase earlier this month and has a good chance.
BP= 40/1 Blue Square
SUMMARY
This is an open race and the value is to have a bit each-way on the bottom weight Heidi III - the betting exchanges are offering even higher than 40/1.
For old articles (from 1st March 2000) go to the Newslink
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