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Saturday, February 19, 2005


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY




HAYDOCK PARK, SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 19, 2005



GOING: SOFT, HEAVY IN PLACES

2.25pm £120,000 Red Square Vodka Gold Cup Handicap Chase Grade Three, 3m 4f 110yds

For the latest best odds, go to www.britodds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


1) UP22 Royal Emperor Sue Smith 9-11-12 NON-RUNNER

2) 2137 Chives Sue Smith 10-11-12 Dominic Elsworth
Seemed to have been revitalised by a change of stable at the start of this season, finishing second in the Edward Hanmer Chase and winning the Tommy Whittle Chase, both at this track. He also ran well when third in the Welsh National but was a major disappointment last time in the Peter Marsh Chase back here but is likely to have broken blood vessels again. Stays well and likes this ground. BP= 10/1

3) 4414 Truckers Tavern Ferdy Murphy 10-11-11t Brian Harding
Often runs well here but he found things happening a bit too quickly when fourth last time in the Peter Marsh Chase. Has always looked as though a race like this - over a longer trip - should play to his strengths. The minus against him is that he invariably makes mistakes and that can be costly at Haydock. BP= 10/1

4) 1U12 Control Man Martin Pipe 7-11-5v Timmy Murphy
This novice has won three of his five starts over fences and is an interesting contender in handicap company for the first time. He goes well on soft ground but stamina is not totally proven though he should stay. Has to put a slightly disappointing run at Warwick last time behind him. BP= 9/2

5) 1621 Baron Windrush Nigel Twiston-Davies 7-11-03 Carl Llewellyn
Relished the step up in trip and the softer ground when taking the valuable totesport Classic Chase over this sort of distance at Warwick last time He has gone up 10lb for that and therefore has to be open to further improvement to do as well here. Technically a novice he has yet to race at Haydock where the big fences take some jumping. BP= 7/2

6) 5443 Double Honour Philip Hobbs 7-11-01b Paddy Brennan
He has been very consistent this season and is 11 lb better off with Baron Windrush for the 18.5 lengths he was beaten at Warwick last time. Not out of it and he will win one of these big staying chases one day, although maybe on better ground. Excellent each-way value. BP= 10/1

7) 15-1 Forest Gunner Richard Ford 11-10-13 Peter Buchanan (3)
Thrives over the Grand National fences, having won the Foxhunters last season and the Grand Sefton this season. He is an interesting contender over these drop fences as he is a particularly good jumper. This race will see if he is a live candidate for the Grand National as he has not previously won over further than 2m 7f while this very soft ground is another new test. BP= 10/1

8) 4127 Turnium Michael Scudamore 10-10-13v James Davies
Had some useful form in France in his heyday but there is little to recommend him on the basis of his one run in this country over hurdles at this course last month. But that was over two miles and this will be a much better test of his abilities. In France, he did well on heavy ground but at shorter trips. BP= 66/1

9) P1P0 Merchants Friend Charlie Mann 10-10-13p NON-RUNNER

10) 0246 L’Aventure Paul Nicholls 6-10-12tb Robbie McNally
Stays all day, as she showed when finishing well in fourth in the Welsh National in December. She was never really competitive next time out behind Baron Windrush at Warwick but should be very much at home in these conditions.Not the most reliable of sorts. BP= 12/1

11) 3188 Maximize Martin Pipe 11-10-09 Mr Andrew Glassonbury (7)
Stays well, but has more bad days than good ones these days and prefers faster ground in any case. BP= 40/1

12) 03F4 Kelami Francois Doumen FR 7-10-08t Mick Fitzgerald
French-trained contender, owned by Merseyside based John Halewood, who has never totally proved his stamina, as when fourth behind Baron Windrush last time out at Warwick but he probably has the talent to win this if he so desires. Trainer in good form. BP= 12/1

13) 4312 Too Forward Mark Pitman 9-10-02 Tony Dobbin
Formerly a very useful handicap hurdler and returned to the track this year having missed all of last season. Gave the impression that he should stay a longer trip on his latest two starts and is well handicapped on his best hurdling form. But he has yet to prove he stays this far on this sort of ground and was still making mistakeson his latest outing. BP= 13/2

SUMMARY
An interesting race which has quite an open look to it. DOUBLE HONOUR gets the chance to show how good he is here and is worth backing each-way.


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