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Saturday, December 1, 2007


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN every Saturday

Newbury, Saturday, December 1, 2007

1.35pm £30,000 UK HYGIENE HANDICAP CHASE (FOR THE JIM JOEL MEMORIAL TROPHY) 2m1f

GOING: SOFT





for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


1 -98742 MAGIC SKY Milton Harris 7-11-12 Charlie Poste (3)
Apple of trainer’s eye and slightly unlucky when hampered at Cheltenham before throwing away decent chance with last fence blunder most recently at Ascot. Was a cosy course and distance winner in lesser company in March, but could be vulnerable off a big weight here, having gone up sharply in the ratings despite not winning. Acts on this ground. BP= 5/1

2 71202- CALATAGAN Malcolm Jefferson 8-11-11 Tom Dreaper (3)
This front-runner will be fit following four recent flat spins, and did look like an improver throughout last season, winning twice, but is racing off his highest-ever mark. Will stretch them if given a soft lead, and will not be inconvenienced by the forecast soft going. BP= 12/1

3 3/122 PERCUSSIONIST Howard Johnson 6-11-04 Denis O'Regan
High-class Flat performer and showed promise as a novice chaser last season, with a win and two seconds in small fields. Rating of 135 could underestimate his ability, and the stable is beginning to fire on all cylinders. Could not with more chasing experience. BP= 3/1

4 F44-24 BOHEMIAN SPIRIT Nicky Richards 9-11-04 Miss Rose Davidson (5)
Consistent performer who was not disgraced on first run for a while when fourth in handicap chase at Aintree - keeping on. Will run his race in the soft ground for regular jockey and could be the surprise package of the race. He is a experienced jumper who likes a fast pace because he can just sit off it and come with a flourish at the end.

BP= 6/1

5 1-F6F4 LORD HENRY Philip Hobbs 8-11-02 Tom O’Brien
Talented but quirky, and has the tendency to throw in the odd stinker. Cut his own throat by racing too keenly in Listed contest at Ayr, and will not relish a slog through the soft ground. Will contest the pace with Calatagan. BP= 8/1

6 /165-5 SAINTSAIRE Paul Nicholls 8-11-00b Sam Thomas
Hasn't beaten a horse home in last two starts,and has had his share of problems in the past. But he did win this race on soft ground last season off a 4lb lower mark and is still highly thought of by trainer. On a winnable mark, but it is beginning to look like he might need further or just needs to get his confidence back.

BP= 5/1

7 221P1- OFFEMONT Noel Chance 6-10-06b Tom Siddall
Hard to place based on several novice efforts behind top quality horses, before a couple of winning performances proved him to be talented. Could be suited by the strong pace and soft ground, but the massive gelding may just need the run.

BP= 12/1

8 U244P- MAMBO DES MOTTES Venetia Williams 7-10-04 Graham Lee
Yet to win in this country after 12 starts and an erratic jumper. Trainer in fantastic form recently, and gelding could be suited by trip but he has not run since April.
BP= 8/1

9 2583-4 ROOFING SPIRIT Paul Keane 9-10-00v1 Neil Mulholland
Will have come on for his last run over hurdles, and has twice won chases at this time of year (fifth here behind Saintsaire last season). However, hard to get excited about exposed nine-year-old, and application of visor will probably not yield necessary improvement.
BP= 40/1

SUMMARY
The value lies with Bohemian Spirit each-way.


GOOD LUCK

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