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Saturday, November 25, 2006


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY




NEWCASTLE

Sasturday, November 25, 2006

3:30pm £80,000 wbx.com "Fighting Fifth" Hurdle 2m



GOING: Good to soft, soft in places

For the best current odds, go to britodds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


1) 1P595- Arcalis Howard Johnson 6-11-07 Paddy Brennan
Winner of the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at Cheltenham two seasons ago and captured this race on his reappearance last season. Form tailed off after that but stable was not in great form. Can run well fresh and shouldn’t be discounted with his stable going great guns. BP= 11/2

2) 410-21 Crow Wood John Quinn 7-11-07 Russ Garritty
Got the better of Desert Quest by half a length at Wincanton last time but was in receipt of 23lb that day. Improving sort, but is up against it on these terms. BP= 25/1

3) 110-12 Desert Quest Paul Nicholls 6-11-07b Sam Thomas
Winner of the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival last season before finishing well beaten behind Straw Bear at Aintree. He won impressively with top-weight on reappearance at Ascot on fast ground before just getting touched off at Wincanton by Crow Wood. Clear chance but has yet to experience testing ground. BP= 11/4

4) 3822-5 Faasel Nicky Richards 5-11-07p Graham Lee
Runner-up in the 2005 Triumph Hurdle but proved frustrating last season, running well without winning - twice beaten by Noble Quest. He can improve on his first outing and goes well on soft ground. Graham Lee is a plus in the saddle. BP= 20/1

5) 2211-4 Noble Request Philip Hobbs 5-11-07 Richard Johnson
Chased home Desert Quest in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham before rounding off the year with wins in the Scottish Champion Hurdle and at Sandown, beating Faasel both times. Looked to have every chance at Wincanton on reappearance but can improve for that. Best form so far on good ground. BP= 4/1

6) 11212- Straw Bear Nick Gifford 5-11-07 Tony McCoy
Enjoyed an excellent first season over hurdles in 2005/06, winning a Grade Two contest at Aintree and finishing runner-up in Grade One events at Cheltenham and Punchestown. Looks open to further improvement and is the least exposed member of the field. Likes soft ground but is making his seasonal debut. BP= 6/4

7) 3159F- The French Furze Nicky Richards12-11-07 Brian Harding
Grand old campaigner who won this race in 2003 and will be lining up for his sixth consecutive Fighting Fifth today. Certainly no back number last year and although it his difficult to see him winning, he could snatch a place. BP=

8) P150-7 TorkinkingMaurice Barnes 7-11-07t Richard McGrath
Handicap winner over the course and distance but is impossible to fancy on these terms but he should not be disgraced. BP= 150/1

9) 12- Charlotte Vale Micky Hammond 5-11-00 Barry Keniry
Won maiden hurdle at Sedgefield and was second at Wetherby last season, but moderate performer on the Flat and has a mountain to climb. BP= 200/1

SUMMARY
The ground will be softer than most of the leading protagonists will like except for Straw Bear who is too short a price. The value is each-way with Faasel.


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