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Saturday, January 14, 2006


THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY




WARWICK, SATURDAY, JANUARY 14, 2006

3pm £75,000 totesport Classic Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 3m 5f



for the best odds go to www.BritOdds.com
BP= the best price at the time of writing


GOING: GOOD TO SOFT, SOFT IN PLACES

1) 2F-1 Joaaci Martin Pipe 6-11-12 Timmy Murphy
Made light of both an absence and a huge hike in the ratings to land decent handicap at Cheltenham on New Year's Day. Looks a horse with a real future and looks set for another bold show. However, at this price and with this weight he is worth taking on. BP=11/4

2) -PPF Sir Rembrandt Robert Alner 10-11-07 Andrew Thornton
Placed in the Gold Cup for the past two season and was in the process of running a good race when falling in the Welsh National last time. Chance at his best, but vulnerable to progressive rivals. BP=12/1

3) 64F1 Double Honour Philip Hobbs 8-11-00b Richard Johnson
Slightly quirky but very consistent sort who defeated Arctic Jack at Haydock last time. Sure to stay this trip and should be thereabouts once again, although his overall win record is a cause for concern. BP=11/1

4) -434 Crystal D'Ainay Alan King 7-11-00v Robert Thornton
High-class staying hurdler at best but has not yet looked quite so good over fences. Looked as if extreme distances may stretch his stamina last time out in the Welsh National. Others preferred. BP=9/1

5) P-41 Eurotrek Paul Nicholls 10-10-09 Ruby Walsh
Lightly-raced sort who put up a very smooth effort when winning at Newbury last time. Needs to improve again but could well be the one. BP= 11/2

6) U0/P Shardam Nigel Twiston-Davies 9-10-07 Carl Llewellyn
Last win over two years ago and little in the way of encouragement on his reappearance in the Welsh National last time. BP=28/1

7) -30U Control Man Martin Pipe 8-10-07v Andrew Glassonbury (7)Each-way chance if reproducing his effort at Cheltenham in November. Bit disappointing subsequently over hurdles at Cheltenham and stumbled shortly after the start in Welsh National. Claiming rider is very able. BP=11/1

8) 1411 Dead-Eyed Dick Nick Williams 10-10-00 Paddy Brennan
Progressive sort round the West Country tracks and will certainly stay, having won over four miles last time. Looks a bit vulnerable in this better class but cannot be dismissed. BP=7/1

9) 13-F Glen Warrior Julian Smith 10-10-00 Paul Moloney
Won novices' handicap at Uttoxeter last season but looks as if he will struggle on overall form. BP= 33/1

10) P-42 Artic Jack Sue Smith 10-10-00 David Elsworth
Very useful a couple of seasons ago and showed a clear return to form when second to Double Honour last time. On as favourable a handicap as he has been in a long time and is definitely in there with a chance. BP=9/1

11) 3516 Victory Gunner Craig Roberts 8-10-00 Lee Stephens (5)
Well beaten in novice company last weekend and hard to fancy. BP=33/1

12) 3-P6 Granit D'Estruval Ferdy Murphy 12-10-00 Brian Harding
Useful in his prime (Irish Grand National winner) but looks as if age has caught up with him and is out of the handicap. BP=18/1

13) -P45 Kittenkat Richard Mitchell 12-10-00 Tom Scudamore
Capable plodder in his own company but impossible to fancy from almost 2st out of the handicap. BP=150/1

SUMMARY:
EUROTREK looks a most progressive performer and is still on a handy mark.


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