Saturday, January 8, 2005

THE VALUE BETTING COLUMN EVERY SATURDAY

SANDOWN, SATURDAY, JANUARY 8, 2005

1) 4134 Tresor De Mai Martin Pipe 11-11-12 Rodi Greene
Usually runs his best races at Ascot but has been in fair form this season, winning at Exeter back in November. Getting on a bit now and vulnerable to more progressive rivalsand the handicapper is not helping. BP = 16/1

2) 2U4- Lucky Bay Bridget Nicholls 9-11-12 Seamus Durack
Decent performer for Henrietta Knight in the past. Not seen out in almost a year but is an interesting sort who could be well handicapped. BP = 25/1

3) P/15 Spring Margot Paul Nicholls 9-11-10 Tony McCoy
Won rather uncompetitive affair on first run in two years at Sandown over two and a half miles in November before fair effort over a similar distance when last seen at Newbury in November. Has a chance and should stay but is a little hard to assess, though the booking of McCoy is a big plus. BP = 6/1

4) 8-12 Carryonharry Martin Pipe 11-11-09v Timmy Murphy
Bit of a quirky performer but nothing wrong with his two runs this season when winning an easy race at Ludlow and when a fair second at Wincanton. A chance again here, although he may prefer slightly further. BP = 8/1

5) 3223 Lou Du Moulin Mas Paul Nicholls 6-11-05t Ruby Walsh
Sole British success came in a novice event at Newton Abbot in late April but he has been in good form recently and is a progressive sort. He is still technically a novice but looks a good jumper and was a close third at Newbury recently. Runner-up two runs ago to Lord Illusion who has boosted the form since. Stable in good form. BP = 4/1

6) 7313 Moving Earth Tony Carroll 12-11-04 Noel Fehily
Can be a tricky customer at the start, but in good heart so far this season. However, getting on in years and it is doubtful whether he still has it in him to win a race of this sort. BP = 14/1

7) -FU2 Prominent Profile Nigel Twiston-Davies 12-11-03 Carl Llewellyn
Now in the veteran stage but seems to retain plenty of ability, as he showed when second at Windsor last time. Course and distance winner last season and one to consider. Makes the running. BP = 10/1

8) -327 Fin Bec Alan Jones 12-10-12b Warren Marston
Thorough stayer but looks up against at his age in a race like this. Likes to be up with the pace or make the running. BP = 33/1

9) 33/3 Indalo Venetia Williams 10-10-12 Sam Thomas
Could be well treated on his novice form of a couple of years ago and he made an encouraging return to action at Haydock last month but is untested over three miles. BP = 5/1

10) 1125 Three Days Reign Peter Cundell 11-10-10 Leighton Aspell
In good form in minor company earlier in the season but looks as though the handicapper may have caught up with him and has a difficult task in this company. BP = 14/1

11) 6221 Boy’s Hurrah Howard Johnson 9-10-05
Came good after some sound efforts when winning over the course and distance last month but the form does not look that good. Another who likes to make the running or be up with the pace. BP = 7/1

12) 5544 Joint Authority Dai Williams 10-10-04 Miss Lucy Horner (7)
Has generally been struggling in a lower grade and there is no reason to suggest that it will be any different in this race over a longer trip than experienced so far. BP = 33/1

SUMMARY
b>Lou Du Moulin Mas remains open to further improvement and stands out in a race with a lot of question marks. Great value at 4/1 and could start significantly shorter.

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